When, along with applied systems scientist dr joe norman, we first reacted to coronavirus on 25 january with the publication of an academic note urging caution, the virus had reportedly infected fewer than 2,000 people worldwide and fewer than 60 people were dead. The book has made me think in a very abstract way in looking at past events that happened and trying to work out if we could have known that this was to happen. Nassim nicholas taleb, adviser at universa investments, sat down for an interview with erik schatzker tuesday evening in new york. Nassim taleb, hedgefund adviser and author of the black swan, may be a prophet of doom when it comes to the perilous state of financial markets, but, in a rare splash of cheer, he says he. Nassim nicholas taleb find out how to protect your nest egg, why steve jobs was an artisan but elon musk isnt, and so much more. The quarterly journal of austrian economics 16, no. Seneca and stoicism as a back door to explain why everything antifragile has to have more upside than downside and hence benefits from volatility, error, and stressorsthe fundamental asymmetry. Nassim taleb on his black monday positions bloomberg. How to be rational about rationality incerto medium.
Nassim nicholas taleb, the man who popularized the black swan concept, says that donald j. The impact of the highly improbable is a 2007 book by author and former options trader nassim nicholas taleb. The article said the fund had a 60% return in 2000 followed by losses in 2001 and in 2002. The barbell strategy in life and things as the transformation of anything from fragile to antifragile. Nassim nicholas taleb lebada neagra free ebook download as pdf file. Nassim nicholas taleb interviewed by bruce oreck at the tomorrow conference in june 2015. Taleb, famous for his assessment of risk, says there are greater.
Nassim nicholas taleb empirical evidence that the boat is safe. Before penning my previous commentary, i contacted nassim nicholas taleb to check whether there were any inaccuracies in a wall street journal article about the performance of his previous black swan fund, empirica kurtosis ltd. The author famous for the black swan is a bit of a black swan himself an unexpected phenomenon arising from the collision of several arcane disciplines and. Nassim taleb author of the renowned black swan book said people are sick of being told how to think by hapless eurocrats who couldnt find a coconut on coconut island. Taleb, author of fooled by randomness and the black swan, talking about his new book. Singurul pacat al domnului taleb este faptul ca ii place sa spuna lucrurile pe lung. Universa investments distinguished scientific advisor nassim taleb was a trader for first boston at the time. Impactul foarte putin probabilului nassim nicholas. Trumps defeat of hillary clinton in the presidential election was not a. His 2007 book the black swan has been described by the sunday times as one of the twelve. Black swan author nassim taleb says dont worry about a trump presidency.
The impact of the highly improbable by taleb, nassim nicholas 1st first edition hardcover2007 on. Nassim nicholas taleb is far and away my favorite thinker living today. The other books in the series are fooled by randomness, antifragile, skin in the game, and the bed of procrustes. Nassim taleb is an essayist and mathematical trader, and an edge activista member of the literary and empirical community of scientistsphilosophers. In lebada neagra, taleb face o analiza riguroasa a impactului improbabilita. He spent nearly two decades as a businessman and quantitative trader before becoming a fulltime philosophical essayist and academic researcher in 2006. Capitolul 1 prezinta lebada neagra asa cum apare ea in povestea propriei mele obsesii. He wants to create a platform for a new scientificminded public intellectual dealing with social and historical events in replacement to the fooled by randomness historian and the babbling journalistic public. I was surprised to learn that nassim taleb had a problem with my book the better angels of our nature, because its analysis of war and.
Taleb said trump would be less likely to intervene in events overseas and would try to go with the prevailing winds. Risk is both precautionary fragility based and evidentiary statistical based. Nassim nicholas taleb yv lebada neagra lmpactul foarte putin probabilului ediqia a iiia, reyiz. His incerto the body of his work, latin for uncertaintyhas changed my life more profoundly than any author except maybe nietzsche or seneca. This is an interesting read which is very abstract in nature. The impact of the highly improbable by taleb, nassim nicholas 1st first edition hardcover2007. Nassim nicholas taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. In bubble markets and bear markets, the talk always turns to new paradigms. Black swan writer taleb downplays north korean nuclear. Lebada neagra, impactul foarte putin probabilului nassim. Aceasta pagina este dedicata studiului cartilor lui nassim nicholas taleb fooled by randomness, lebada. Taleb has made his living and a small fortune, now transformed into a large fortune by the 2008 market in an unusual way by financial speculation in contexts where he spots a small chance of making a very large gain. The black swan is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decisionmaking in a world we dont understand.
Pdf nassim taleblebada neagra iacob vasile academia. When you read nassim talebs works it isnt apparent its lessons, to a lesser or greater extent, have been put into practice by value investors for half a century. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. Comments on nassim talebs the long peace is a statistical illusion steven pinker. Nassim nicholas taleb interview tomorrow 2015 youtube. Unifying themes in complex systems ix, proceedings of the ninth international conference on complex systems 2018, in alfredo j.
355 420 171 1271 386 1488 813 1417 1245 487 967 244 567 117 621 737 813 1501 875 1366 30 448 701 1224 16 862 1028 358 945 751 72 467